life is quined matter

universes with more life probably more compressible

typos on a darknet market site. programmers sigh

problematic

Annoyance: it is the exception, rather than the norm, that taking away options from someone helps them.

The last thing ever felt was a medium-surprised “huh.”, as when one comes across a novel, but not very surprising new fact. After August 23rd 2039 11:34, nothing ever happened in an awareness again.

5-word horror story: law of conversation of valence

@adi@twtxt.net “@niplav Your reasoning is that if Zeus would create mistresses he would create too many people?” -> Nope, that he wouldn’t be able to control them (since they are only slightly less powerful than him), and “you cannot put down what you have conjured up”

”@niplav (#kfgri5a) There are no expectations when you’re honest. Expectations and honesty don’t mix.” -> I honestly wasn’t expecting that answer :)

@jlj@twt.nfld.uk “@niplav (#xvbnyma) Fascinating. :-) Suspect #RMS would have a violent physical reaction – accompanied by some salty language – after even a moment’s contemplation of life under such complicity. :-D” -> He is a very unreasonable man <3

@alip@dev.exherbo.org “We are calling for Richard M. Stallman to be removed from all leadership positions, including the GNU Project. https://rms-open-letter.github.io/” highly contextual/simulacrous memeplexes exclude high-variance impact neuroatypicals, nobody thinks about incentives?

hem hock

guns cock

cocks gun

i think that this becomes a bigger issue with more options in a survey?

for this reason, don’t expect consistent opinions from the percentages in survey results!

i think one can’t really infer inconsistencies from survey data all that often (as in “n% of people think X, and m% of people think y, but those are incompatible”). if n% of people say X (m% say Y), and 100-n% of people say ¬X (and 100-m% say ¬Y), and X and Y are incompatible, then the groups that say X and Y only must overlap with (X-50)+(Y-50) percent, which is often not that much.

https://hotelconcierge.tumblr.com/post/113360634364/the-stanford-marshmallow-prison-experiment probably wrong, iq predictive, but marshmallow test is (apparently?) not

@(frogorbits.com) “@niplav Seems like most of the (radical) life extension people are interested in adding years to their lives, but agnostic about adding life to their years. “Be old longer” doesn’t appeal to a lot of people.” -> I disagree, the people who i know that are interested in life extension look to me more engaged in life than the ones who are not (though that hinges on definitions of ”adding life to their years”). i agree that “adding life to your years” is underappreciated, though.

@(frogorbits.com) I hope that didn’t come off too mean :-/

@(frogorbits.com) @niplav@niplav.github.io “I sign a lot less stuff these days now that my phone can pretend to be a credit card. Also: an impostor with a quantum computer can’t pretend to sign documents on my behalf…” -> It’s good that pen signatures are completely unfakeable. They’re unbelievably reliable. We can’t just copy & photoshop around the edges. Better worry about those definitely-soon-to-exist quantum computers that might crack cryptography.

look at me! Im Moldbug! I want to appoint $PROGRESSIVE_ICON as king/queen!

when forecasting, babble 10 unexpected things that might derail the forecast

e.g. editing a text – I thought i was done with it!

aversion to carrying out actions that increase my prediction error

@adi@twtxt.net “I usually seen the opposite. Women are more interested in longevity and happy that studies show that they live more than men.” -> I probably could have been clearer: It seems to me that women are on average much less interested in life-extension (methods beyond usual health advice such as the old “exercise, eat vegetables”) than men. This might just be founder/sampling bias (life extension comes out of the relatively male dominated libertarian/techno-optimist cluster). Actually, maybe there’s just a variance thing here: median man cares less about his longevity than the median woman, but the variance for men is higher.

@jlj@twt.nfld.uk “A good read: Why I find longtermism hard – […]” -> Interesting! I don’t particularly share that emotional intuition (although my bias probably cuts the other way: I am more moved by interesting projects, and more interesting problems probably also less neglected)–I generally find most problems other people find salient not very moving at all (although probably equally strongly moved by extremely near suffering compared to other people, but with a stronger emotional distance discount). EA makes sense in a very different way to me (phenomenologically, probably closest to philosophical high valence states it evokes).

i can feel your stomach in my bones

my wish: textbooks are published together with anki flashcards

men care more than women about longevity?

interested in understanding the world of fucking

sequential decision problems in the water supply

Tran-Skript

Simp-lifying

Turbo-Lenz

Being rational is virtuous

The epistemic commons are worth protecting. Go and do your signalling with donations or fashion.

I get very squeamish when people are insistent on me saying “X is Y”. It’s usually a bad sign.

Getting laid before the age of 21 is a great predictor for becoming a utilitarian vs. a negative utilitarian.

Do people who only communicate in ASL have tiny hands as an internal monologue?

If you want somebody to help you, they should participate in the loss/gain of their helping to the degree of effect.

Not explaining away; instead predicting.

Bandname: Catastrophic Transcripts

Audiobook not so great because they don’t pause automatically if I lose focus, books do.

There is a universe not far from ours where people signal wealth mostly through effective charitable donations.

Possible climate change intervention: Improve performance of widely used but neglected open source projects.

Yes andy, no butty.

How do you cooperate with suboptimal allies?

Concreteness leaking out of your abstractions there.